Will Donald Trump say “Mount Rushmore”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mount Rushmore” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Mount Rushmore
- Probability
- 60% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Mount Rushmore |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Mount Rushmore | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Mount Rushmore | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Mount Rushmore”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mount Rushmore” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Mount Rushmore” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Mount Rushmore’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mount-rushmore (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mount%20rushmore · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP