Will Donald Trump say “Secret”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Secret” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 5, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Secret
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…he would have access to our nation's most closely guarded national security secrets. And his vote would wield power over our military, our borders, our…
…of I could tell you so many of those stories or two secret service people that got shot or there were military people actually that…
…honor. Thank you very much. I have to tell you a little secret. Outside there's a crowd about two or three times this size. And…
…Coordination Center, our prosecutors are working alongside FBI and HSI agents, the Secret Service, Treasury and State on the same targets, so that every case…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Secret |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (7 of 10 known appearances transcribed)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Secret”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Secret” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Secret” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Secret’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/secret (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=secret · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP