Will Donald Trump say “Police”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Police” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Police
- Probability
- 58% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…United States, giving free health care to all illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent criminals to rob, rape, and…
…who will cut your property taxes very substantially, lower your gas prices, support our police, and keep criminals behind bars. Your next governor, Zack Lane.
…as has X and Elon Musk. In April, FBI and the Dubai Police announced the arrest of at least 276 individuals and the dismantlement of…
…you very much. You know, your your security, your law enforcement, your police are incredible. I judge places No, I judge places by how long…
…It's a real shithouse, ok? It's got no government. It's got no police protect -- all they do is have people running around shooting each…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Police”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Police” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jul 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Police” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Police’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/police (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=police · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP