# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-08-30 (settled) · 16 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-24-august-30 · as_of 2026-10-27T00:09:03Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-08-30 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-08-19..2026-08-28 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-24-august-30 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage 5 of 9 known appearances transcribed (as of 2026-10-22T14:43:12Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
# text pending: 1 appearance since 2026-08-30 without a transcript yet (tn/th leave them out); newest donald-trump:2026-08-30:interview: the broadcaster's video captions (his turns only) (late)
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	agree	lower_bound
Transgender	transgender	215	117	0.54	nnYYYYYnYn	8	3	0.71	hist	4	4	yes	1	
Through The Roof	through the roof	13	8	0.62	nnnYnYYYnY	8	1	0.67	hist	0	0	no		1
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	156	94	0.6	nYYYnnnnnn	8	0	0.66	hist	0	0	no		1
God	god	10	6	0.6	YYnnnnYYYY	8	2	0.64	hist	3	4	yes	1	
Ballroom	ballroom	105	43	0.41	YYYnnnnYYY	8	3	0.57	hist	2	2	yes	1	
World War	world war	13	8	0.62	nnYYYYnYYY	8	1	0.56	hist	0	0	no		1
Boom / Booming	boom|booming	5	3	0.6	nYYnY	8	2	0.56	hist	0	0	no		1
Who Are You	who are you	4	2	0.5	nYnY	8	0	0.54	hist	0	1	no		1
Maduro	maduro	65	29	0.45	YYnYYnYnYn	8	0	0.53	hist	0	0	no		1
Hunter	hunter	7	5	0.71	YnYnYYY	8	0	0.51	hist	0	0	no		1
Little Rocket Man	little rocket man	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.45	hist	0	0	no		1
Six Seven	six seven	62	18	0.29	nnnnYnnnYY	8	0	0.43	hist	0	0	no		1
America First	america first	79	27	0.34	nnYnYYnnYn	8	2	0.41	hist	2	2	yes	1	
Karoline / Leavitt	karoline|leavitt	28	7	0.25	nnnYYnnnYY	8	3	0.33	hist	1	1	yes	1	
Human Printer	human printer	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	no		1
Incompetent	incompetent	0	0			8	0	0.5	prior	0	0	yes		1