Will Donald Trump say “Mutilization”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mutilization” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 22, 2026 (20%), most recently on Mar 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Mutilization
- Probability
- 34% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…stupid. They're so stupid. Don't forget, they're the ones that want transgender mutilization of your children. They want open borders. They want they want men…
…better get that changed. He voted in favor of taxpayer funded transgender mutilization surgeries and in favor of men in girls bathrooms. He wants men…
…darling. You're going to win big. Well, you see, they're into transgender mutilization. Me personally, I could do without her. They like transgender mutilization and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mutilization |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Mutilization | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Mutilization | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Mutilization | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Mutilization | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Mutilization”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mutilization” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 22, 2026 (20%), most recently on Mar 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Mutilization” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Mutilization’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mutilization (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mutilization · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP