Will Donald Trump say “Poll / Polling”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Poll / Polling” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Poll / Polling
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…period of time. That's what they say. You're going to see a poll later on. They rate the presidents in terms of their greatness. I'm…
…the way. You're both doing great. But we still have to get out and vote. But you both I looked at some polls. Very impressive.
…good numbers for me, too. I get good numbers. I get good polls. But I'm not running, but I am running, right? You remember? But…
…out about the real man. And -- and you probably saw the polls. He's now leading, and he was down by quite a bit. But…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Poll / Polling |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Poll / Polling | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Poll / Polling”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Poll / Polling” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Poll / Polling” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Poll / Polling’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/poll-or-polling (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=poll%20%2F%20polling · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP