# JD Vance (jd-vance) · interview 2026-01-08 · 20 words · K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JAN08 · as_of 2026-10-24T12:03:24Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-08 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-10-01 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXVANCEMENTION-26JAN08 ({word} = w of K rows): If JD Vance says {word} as part of Jesse Watters Primetime, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	12	10	0.83	YnYYYYYYnY	1	1	0.67	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	6	5	0.83	YYnYYY	1	0	0.58	hist	yes
California	california	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.52	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	5	3	0.6	YYnYn	1	0	0.52	hist	yes
America First	america first	7	3	0.43	nYnnnYY	1	0	0.43	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	8	3	0.38	nnnYnYYn	1	1	0.41	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			1	0	0.4	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	11	4	0.36	nnnYnYYnnn	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Walz	walz	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.36	hist	yes
Middle Class / Working Class	middle class|working class	4	1	0.25	nYnn	1	0	0.33	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.33	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	7	2	0.29	YnYnnnn	1	1	0.31	hist	no
Maduro	maduro	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.31	hist	yes
Woke / DEI	dei|woke	0	0			1	0	0.21	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	1	0	0.17	hist	no
Cuba	cuba	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
Greenland	greenland	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes
National Security	national security	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes
Shirley	shirley	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	0	0			1	0	0.39	prior	yes