# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-21 · 23 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25OCT21 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:58:34Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-21 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25OCT21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of LSU visit on October 20th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	73	61	0.84	YnYYYYYYYY	0.84	hist	no
Border	border	37	26	0.7	YYYYYYYnYY	0.63	hist	no
Radical	radical	4	4	1	YYYY	0.53	hist	no
Football	football	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.46	hist	yes
Ukraine / Russia	russia|ukraine	8	4	0.5	nYnnYYnY	0.46	hist	no
Tiger	tiger	0	0			0.46	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	22	11	0.5	YYnYnnnnnn	0.45	hist	no
Putin	putin	41	27	0.66	YYYnnnYnnn	0.44	hist	no
National Guard	national guard	15	7	0.47	nnnnYYnYnn	0.41	hist	no
Historic	historic	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	hist	no
Schumer	schumer	7	3	0.43	nYnYYnn	0.35	hist	no
Olympic	olympic	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	31	15	0.48	nYnYYnnnYn	0.3	hist	no
Woke	woke	24	4	0.17	YnnYnYnnnn	0.29	hist	no
Big League	big league	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Championship	championship	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Home Run	home run	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Louisiana	louisiana	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Ring	ring	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Tournament	tournament	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Unbelievable	unbelievable	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Winner	winner	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
World Series	world sery	0	0			0.41	prior	yes