Will Donald Trump say “Radical”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Radical” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2025 (83%), most recently on Oct 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Radical
- Probability
- 43% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Moody to the United States Senate. And we're going to defeat the radical left Democrats all across the country. And we're going to win a…
…great ones here. Ashley's opponent in this race is a woke far-left radical named Josh Turk who's whose record is disqualifying and actually is sort…
…enforcement and I'm with the law enforcement. But Darlene's running against a radical left lunatic named Annie Andrews, who would be the most extreme and…
…stop taxpayers from being ripped off is a direct threat to the radical left's effort to turn America into a third world country ruled by…
The Cuban regime has also spent decades coordinating with the left wing radicals and communist networks here in the United States. As our State Department…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Radical”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Radical” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2025 (83%), most recently on Oct 21, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Radical” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Radical’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/radical (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=radical · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP