Will Donald Trump say “Louisiana”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Louisiana” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Louisiana
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…data centers are going to be so popular. They had one in Louisiana, and the people didn't like it until they announced that they're going…
…1900, I sent our crime busters into Memphis, Tennessee, and New Orleans, Louisiana, and crime in each place went down over 80% and will go…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | Louisiana | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Louisiana”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Louisiana” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Louisiana” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Louisiana’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/louisiana (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=louisiana · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP