Will Donald Trump say “Agreement”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Agreement” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 27, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Agreement
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…That's happened to me before. I could I got most favored nation agreements to reduce the cost of prescription drugs from the highest drug price…
…hear that, you feel a lot better. I got most favored nation agreements to reduce the cost of many prescription drugs from the highest drug…
…They didn't know what they were doing. I got most favored nation agreements to reduce the cost of many prescription drugs from the highest drug…
…happen in Ukraine, does that mean Zelenskyy and Putin will have to be in the same room at the same time to sign that agreement?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…announced just days ago, the United States has also reached an unprecedented agreement regarding the northern frontier of North America, the large and strategically vital…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2025 | Agreement |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Agreement”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Agreement” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 27, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Agreement” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Agreement’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/agreement (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=agreement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP