Will Zohran Mamdani say “FBI”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “FBI” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
32%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
FBI
- Probability
- 32% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 press conferences
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “FBI”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “FBI” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “FBI” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘FBI’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/fbi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=fbi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP