# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · hearing 2026-03-11 · 17 words · K k:KXMENTION-MAMD26MAR25 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:51:27Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-11 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2026-02-24..2026-03-10 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-MAMD26MAR25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	39	29	0.74	YYnYYYYYYY	8	8	0.72	yes
Five Boroughs	five borough	16	11	0.69	YnnnnYYYYY	8	6	0.59	no
Fee	fee	0	0			8	2	0.56	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	34	19	0.56	YnnnYYYYnY	8	5	0.54	no
Childcare	childcare	0	0			8	5	0.5	no
Trump / President	president|trump	25	11	0.44	YnnnYYYYYn	8	5	0.46	no
Housing	housing	4	2	0.5	YnYn	8	3	0.44	yes
Governor / Hochul	governor|hochul	39	16	0.41	YnnnYnYYnY	8	5	0.44	no
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	4	2	0.5	YYnn	8	3	0.43	no
NYPD	nypd	39	16	0.41	nYYnnYYnnY	8	5	0.43	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	52	16	0.31	nnnnnnnYnY	8	2	0.34	no
FBI	fbi	1	0	0	n	8	0	0.33	no
Freeze / Freezing	freeze|freezing	9	2	0.22	YnnnnYnnn	8	0	0.29	no
Landlord	landlord	2	0	0	nn	8	1	0.29	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	2	0	0	nn	8	1	0.28	no
Rat	rat	3	0	0	nnn	8	0	0.26	no
Free Bus / Fast and Free	fast and free|free bus	17	3	0.18	nYnnnnnnnn	8	2	0.23	no