Will Zohran Mamdani say “Rat”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Rat” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 28, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 21% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

21%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Rat

Probability
21% · n=5
Settled
0/5 (0%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…a question as to how he was actually going to cut utility rates in half because he doesn't have plans around them. He's just looking…

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 31, 2026RatKalshiNo0
Mar 11, 2026RatKalshiNo–
Jan 23, 2026RatKalshiNo–
Jan 2, 2026RatKalshiNo–
Oct 28, 2025RatKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Rat”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Rat” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 28, 2025.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Rat” next time?
21%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Rat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/rat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=rat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP