# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · presser 2026-05-13 · 17 words · K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY13 · as_of 2026-10-25T13:19:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-13 · tn/th last 8 presser transcripts 2026-01-24..2026-03-23 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMAMDANIMENTION-26MAY13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	63	40	0.63	nYYYYYYnYY	8	2	0.65	hist	yes
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	31	19	0.61	YnnYYYYnYY	8	3	0.65	hist	yes
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	57	41	0.72	YYnYYYYnnY	8	8	0.63	hist	yes
Governor / Hochul	governor|hochul	61	29	0.48	YnYYYYYnYY	8	3	0.54	hist	yes
Crisis	crisis	29	12	0.41	YYYYYYYnYY	8	1	0.54	hist	yes
Drug / Addiction	addiction|drug	2	1	0.5	Yn	8	0	0.5	hist	no
Mental Health	mental health	10	5	0.5	YYnYnYnnnY	8	0	0.48	hist	no
Trump / President	president|trump	51	25	0.49	nnnYYYYnYn	8	1	0.48	hist	yes
Childcare	childcare	21	10	0.48	YYnnYnYnYY	8	1	0.48	hist	no
Hantavirus	hantavirus	2	1	0.5	nY	8	0	0.46	hist	no
NYPD	nypd	65	27	0.42	YnYYnnYYnY	8	6	0.46	hist	yes
Landlord	landlord	13	5	0.38	YnnnYYnnnY	8	1	0.45	hist	no
Ripoff / Rip Off	rip off|ripoff	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.34	hist	no
World Cup	world cup	14	3	0.21	nnnnnYnnnn	8	0	0.29	hist	no
Knicks	knick	8	1	0.12	nnYnnnnn	8	0	0.27	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	25	4	0.16	nnnnnnnnnn	8	0	0.19	hist	no
Deed / Theft	deed|theft	0	0			8	0	0.47	prior	no