Will Zohran Mamdani say “Snow Day”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Snow Day” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 24, 2026 (29%), most recently on Feb 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Snow Day
- Probability
- 32% · n=7
- Settled
- 2/7 (29%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Snow Day”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Snow Day” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 24, 2026 (29%), most recently on Feb 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Snow Day” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Snow Day’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/snow-day (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=snow%20day · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP