Will Zohran Mamdani say “Blizzard”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Blizzard” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 23, 2026 (40%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

49%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Blizzard

Probability
49% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last 8 press conferences
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mamdani say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 24, 2026BlizzardKalshiYes
Feb 23, 2026BlizzardKalshiYes
Jan 25, 2026BlizzardKalshiNo
Jan 24, 2026BlizzardKalshiNo
Jan 23, 2026BlizzardKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Blizzard”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Blizzard” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 23, 2026 (40%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Blizzard” next time?
49%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Blizzard’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/blizzard (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=blizzard · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP