What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Sidewalk” next time?

43%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Sidewalk”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Sidewalk” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Sidewalk” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 23, 2026 (67%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

43%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 04:49 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Sidewalk

Probability: 43% · n=3
Settled: 2/3 (67%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…York City. Across the five boroughs, we proudly boast 12,000 miles of sidewalks, 12,000 acres of green space in our parks, roughly 12,000 bodegas and…

Lisa SuotherMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…a local startup sent quantum signals through the fiber already on our sidewalks, building the nation's first urban quantum network right here in the city.…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.