Will Zohran Mamdani say “Plow / Plowing”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Plow / Plowing” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 24, 2026 (57%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Plow / Plowing
- Probability
- 45% · n=7
- Settled
- 4/7 (57%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | Plow / Plowing |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Plow / Plowing | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Plow / Plowing | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Plow / Plowing | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Plow / Plowing | Kalshi | No |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Plow / Plowing | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Plow / Plowing | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Plow / Plowing”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Plow / Plowing” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 24, 2026 (57%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Plow / Plowing” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Plow / Plowing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/plow-or-plowing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=plow%20%2F%20plowing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP