What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Celebrate / Celebrated / Celebration” next time?

48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Celebrate / Celebrated / Celebration”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Celebrate / Celebrated / Celebration” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Celebrate / Celebrated / Celebration” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview; Oct 8, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.

48%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 09:54 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Celebrate / Celebrated / Celebration

Probability: 48% · n=2
Settled: 2/2 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts: said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (6 remarks, 1 press conference, 1 interview); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…are an example of someone who leads. You led through tough times, and you brought us to this point where we had something to celebrate.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…and 2024. 1,567 New Yorkers with futures ahead of them who will celebrate another birthday and who fill our city with life every single day.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

While today we celebrate a great step forward, we know that it is only that: a step forward. So let us redouble our commitment to…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

Now, not all of these scientific achievements are the same, yet we celebrate all of them in our city because these scientists and countless others…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

Today, we add one more groundbreaking chapter to that story of speed as we celebrate a new feat of civic agility: expedited discretionary grant funding.