Will Zohran Mamdani say “Parade”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Parade” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Parade
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Parade”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Parade” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 15, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Parade” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Parade’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/parade (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=parade · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP