Will Zohran Mamdani say “Bus”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Bus” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Nov 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Bus
- Probability
- 53% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…tackle the cause of violence at its root. On street corners and bus stops, on park benches and at bodega counters, mediating conflicts before they…
…more effectively, that will help predict traffic patterns and ensure that our buses can run faster, and that will help us engineer the materials needed…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Bus”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Bus” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Nov 21, 2025.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Bus” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Bus’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/bus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=bus · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP