What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Rent” next time?

53%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Rent”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Rent” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Rent” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 4, 2025 (100%), most recently on Nov 21, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

53%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 3 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 11:03 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Rent

Probability: 53% · n=3
Settled: 3/3 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Lisa Bova-Hiatt, CEO, NYCHAotherMayor Mamdani Re-Opens Edenwald’s Community, Senior and Child Care Centers · Oct 23, 2026In transcript

…of dollars of investment on behalf of thousands of residents, all while ensuring permanently affordable rent in perpetuity and connecting residents to valuable social services.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Kathy HochulotherMayor Mamdani and Hochul Bring 2‑K to All of the Bronx and Staten Island, Adding 10,000 Seats Across Every Borough · Oct 19, 2026In transcript

…and I were literally getting ready to move to Philadelphia because the rents are so high. We wanted to stay, but we couldn't, and we…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Council Speaker Julie MeninotherMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

Now, not-for-profits won't have to take out loans just to pay the rent. They won't have to wait years for funding that they're owed. Instead,…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Appears on Univision's ¡Despierta América! · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…people who work so hard every day, they still can't afford their rent; they still can't afford their groceries; they still can't afford their childcare.…