Will Zohran Mamdani say “Islamophobia”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Islamophobia” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (25%), most recently on Nov 5, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Islamophobia
- Probability
- 31% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Islamophobia |  Kalshi | No |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Islamophobia | Kalshi | No |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Islamophobia | Kalshi | No |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Islamophobia | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Islamophobia”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said “Islamophobia” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (25%), most recently on Nov 5, 2025.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Islamophobia” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Islamophobia’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/islamophobia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=islamophobia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP