Will Scott Bessent say “Supreme Court”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Supreme Court” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Supreme Court
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 1 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…them. Just to be clear, just to be clear, thanks to the Supreme Court, some of this money's going back to China. So is that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Supreme Court |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Supreme Court”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent did not say “Supreme Court” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Supreme Court” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP