# Scott Bessent (scott-bessent) · keynote 2026-06-26 · 13 words · K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JUN26 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:34:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-26 · tn/th last 3 transcripts of any kind 2025-04-29..2026-05-28 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JUN26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Scott Bessent says {word} as part of Faith & Freedom Coalition's 2026 Policy Conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	9	8	0.89	YYnYYYYYY	3	3	0.74	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	3	1	0.73	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	5	5	1	YYYYY	3	3	0.72	yes
Oil	oil	1	2	2	1	YY	3	2	0.7	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	19	14	0.74	nYYnYnYYYY	3	2	0.7	yes
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	4	3	0.75	YYnY	3	1	0.66	yes
Main Street	main street	1	6	4	0.67	YYnnYY	3	2	0.65	yes
America First	america first	1	2	1	0.5	nY	3	1	0.58	no
Fraud	fraud	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	3	1	0.55	no
Tax Cut	tax cut	1	12	5	0.42	nnYnnYYnYY	3	3	0.53	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	8	5	0.62	YYYYnYnn	3	1	0.51	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	13	4	0.31	nYnnYYnnnY	3	1	0.42	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	18	6	0.33	nnnnnYYnnn	3	1	0.39	yes