Will Zohran Mamdani say “Rikers”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Rikers” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 2, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Zohran Mamdani
Rikers
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
And also, to your point about Rikers, we have to reduce the population of Rikers because we have to close Rikers. And we also know…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Rikers |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Zohran Mamdani say “Rikers”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Rikers” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Rikers” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Zohran Mamdani: ‘Rikers’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/zohran-mamdani/words/riker (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=riker · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=zohran-mamdani&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP