What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Healthcare / Nurse” next time?

31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Healthcare / Nurse”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Healthcare / Nurse” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Healthcare / Nurse” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jan 12, 2026.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Oct 6, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 03:49 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Healthcare / Nurse

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Deputy Mayor FrancoisotherMayor Mamdani Expands Community-Based Violence Prevention to Bushwick, Harlem, and Washington Heights/Inwood · Oct 20, 2026In transcript

…work to prevent retaliation. And they connect residents to jobs, education, mental health care, legal assistance and other resources that can help them move forward.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani Announces New NYU Quantum Fabrication Facility, First-of-Its-Kind Partnership To Give City a Stake in Emerging Industry · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…concerns about what HR 1 was going to do with regards to health care access across the state, Bruce Blakeman went on TV and said…

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…Menin. We have Council Member Lincoln Restler, City Council Member Linda Lee and the in-district representative of this Council district, City Council Member Sandy Nurse.