What is the probability Zohran Mamdani says “Nurse” next time?

33%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Zohran Mamdani say “Nurse”?

Name: Zohran Mamdani: “Nurse” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Zohran Mamdani did not say “Nurse” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 interviews we have transcripts for (Aug 7, 2026 – Oct 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

33%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 05:51 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Zohran Mamdani

Nurse

Probability: 33% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)
Last 8 interviews: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Zohran MamdanispeakerMayor Mamdani and Speaker Menin Cut Red Tape to Expedite Payments for Up to 800 Nonprofits · Oct 8, 2026In transcript

…Menin. We have Council Member Lincoln Restler, City Council Member Linda Lee and the in-district representative of this Council district, City Council Member Sandy Nurse.