Will Donald Trump say “Tax” 20+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 20+ times at 1 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 5, 2024 (12%), most recently on Oct 6, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax 20+ times
- Probability
- 36% · n=8
- Settled
- 1/8 (12%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
13 counted.
…really am on the ballot because we did so many things. Greatest tax cuts, the strongest border we've ever had, all these things. And it…
…it would be possible to do that. So, I signed the largest tax cuts in American history with a great big beautiful bill, no tax…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Tax 20+ times |  Polymarket | No | 13 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tax 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Tax 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Tax 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Tax 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Tax 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Tax 20+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Tax 20+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax 20+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 20+ times at 1 of 8 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 5, 2024 (12%), most recently on Oct 6, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax 20+ times” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tax-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tax%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP