Will Donald Trump say “Rig/Rigged”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rig/Rigged” at 6 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 12, 2024 (60%), most recently on Nov 3, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Rig/Rigged
- Probability
- 47% · n=10
- Settled
- 6/10 (60%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 2 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the right to run again cuz they cheated. They cheated. They They rigged the election. They rigged that. We We did so good. No, we…
…it all three times and especially the last time. Too big to rig. 13 days from now, the people of South Carolina You Thank you.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Rig/Rigged |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Rig/Rigged |  Polymarket | No |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Rig/Rigged | Polymarket | No |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Rig/Rigged | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Rig/Rigged | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Rig/Rigged | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Rig/Rigged | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Rig/Rigged | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Rig/Rigged | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Rig/Rigged | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Rig/Rigged”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rig/Rigged” at 6 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 12, 2024 (60%), most recently on Nov 3, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rig/Rigged” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rig/Rigged’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rig-or-rigged (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rig%20%2F%20rigged · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP