Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 17, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Zelenskyy events on October 17?
Markets
20 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear | Yes | 61%n=40 from settlement history | – |
| Thank you 8+ times | Yes | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Eight Wars / Nine Wars | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NATO 3+ times | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Patriot / Tomahawk 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Percent 4+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Please 8+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trillion / Million / Billion 8+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stupid | Yes | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Mineral | Yes | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Jew / Muslim | Yes | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Tango | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Steve / Witkoff | No | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Laggard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian 10+ times | No | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Suit | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat 4+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden 4+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sanction | No | 25%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 5%n=140 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-zelenskyy-events-on-october-17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP