Donald Trump: Press conference, Mar 1, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say at the Zelenskyy presser?
Markets
23 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | No | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 54%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | 50%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| G7/G-7 | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Vladimir/Putin | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mineral | No | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trade | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Nasty | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Gaza | No | 37%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Annex/Annexation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion/Billions | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| F-16 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Good Looking | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Handsome | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Impeach/Impeached | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kiev | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Moscow | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Perfect phone call | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Beautiful | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crimea | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dictator | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 25%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPZELENSKYY-25MAR01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP