Will Donald Trump say “Governor”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Governor” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2025 (57%), most recently on Oct 7, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Governor
- Probability
- 40% · n=7
- Settled
- 4/7 (57%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…great continuation of senator and you're going to have a great great governor. I have no doubt about that. He's great. He's been he's been…
…guy, a real Trumper for a long time, Zack Lane, to the governor's manager. Thank you. You're both doing great, by the way. You're both…
…passed away I sat back I talked to some of the great people your governor your governor to be who's Allen is fantastic they're all
…Minnesota fraudsters have been arrested and charged. And by the way, the governor is 100 percent guilty. He's 100 percent guilty, he's a fraud, he's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Governor |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Governor | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Governor |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Governor | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Governor | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 12, 2025 | Governor | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 9, 2025 | Governor | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 6, 2025 | Governor | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Governor”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Governor” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2025 (57%), most recently on Oct 7, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Governor” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Governor’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/governor (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=governor · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP