Donald Trump: Weekly window, May 9, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: May 3, 2025 to May 9, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
8 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 66%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Pete / Hegseth | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Baby | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Governor | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pope | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 19%n=86 from settlement history | – |
| 51st State | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-134 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP