Will Donald Trump say “Joe / Biden” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Joe / Biden” 5+ times at 7 of 13 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 14, 2025 (54%), most recently on Aug 11, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Joe / Biden 5+ times
- Probability
- 36% · n=13
- Settled
- 7/13 (54%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…media. You know, I was telling him the other night I imitated Biden on the stage where he used to walk off walls and could…
…was actually zero in 17 months. Who can believe it, right? Remember Joe Biden said we'd have to go to Congress to get a change.…
Yeah. Sure, sure. We had a wonderful man who, during the Biden administration, was taken hostage in Russia. They claimed things -- we won't get…
…run in South Carolina? Am I in a different state? Maybe like Biden. Remember, he was in Florida and he thought he was in Maine.…
…look, it's been going on for a long time. But in the Biden administration, it was sick. Nick used his popular YouTube channel to reveal…
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Joe / Biden 5+ times |  Polymarket | No | 4 |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 21, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 16, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 13, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 6, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Joe / Biden 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Joe / Biden 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Joe / Biden” 5+ times at 7 of 13 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 14, 2025 (54%), most recently on Aug 11, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Joe / Biden 5+ times” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Joe / Biden 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/biden-or-joe-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=biden%20%2F%20joe%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP