NewsNation: Episode, Mar 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Todd Blanche say during his NewsNation interview?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Victim / Survivor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ghislaine / Maxwell | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Khanna / Massie | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redacted / Unredacted / Redaction | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Clinton | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pam / Bondi | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – | |
| Island | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNEWSNATIONMENTION-26MAR20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP