Todd Blanche: Press conference, Jan 31, 2026

Sat, Jan 31Press conferenceHistory onlyTodd Blanche

Updated

Markets

17 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Epstein Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Flight Log / List Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Maxwell Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Victim / Survivor Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Above the Law No–new new word, no probability yet–
Antifa No–new new word, no probability yet–
Biden No–new new word, no probability yet–
Clinton No–new new word, no probability yet–
Conspiracy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Don / Lemon No–new new word, no probability yet–
Minnesota No–new new word, no probability yet–
Pam / Bondi No–new new word, no probability yet–
Peace / Peaceful No–new new word, no probability yet–
Protest / Protester No–new new word, no probability yet–
Radical Left No–new new word, no probability yet–
Religion / Religious No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGOVERNORMENTION-26JAN31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP