Will Pete Hegseth say “Hezbollah”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Hezbollah” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (20%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Pete Hegseth
Hezbollah
- Probability
- 38% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Pete Hegseth yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Pete Hegseth say “Hezbollah”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Pete Hegseth said “Hezbollah” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (20%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Pete Hegseth says “Hezbollah” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Pete Hegseth: ‘Hezbollah’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/pete-hegseth/words/hezbollah (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=pete-hegseth&word=hezbollah · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=pete-hegseth&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP