Will Melania Trump say “Amazon”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Melania Trump said “Amazon” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025 (25%), most recently on Jan 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
31%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Melania Trump
Amazon
- Probability
- 31% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Melania Trump yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Melania Trump say “Amazon”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Melania Trump said “Amazon” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025 (25%), most recently on Jan 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Melania Trump says “Amazon” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Melania Trump: ‘Amazon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/melania-trump/words/amazon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=melania-trump&word=amazon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=melania-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP