Melania Trump: Interview, Jan 30, 2026
Kalshi What will Melania say during her Fox News Interview?
Markets
12 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Film / Filmed / Filming | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inauguration | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| White House | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Amazon | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 19%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Barron | Yes | 14%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Donald | No | 24%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Peace / Peaceful | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Russia / Putin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Unify / Unity | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMELANIAMENTION-26JAN30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP