Will Jon Ossoff say “Trump” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jon Ossoff said “Trump” 3+ times at 13 of 19 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (68%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=19, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 14, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jon Ossoff
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 33% · n=19
- Settled
- 13/19 (68%)
- Last 7 episodes
- said in 5 of 7
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
4 counted; 76 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted; 62 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 41 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 19 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 2 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 20, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Jon Ossoff say “Trump (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jon Ossoff said “Trump” 3+ times at 13 of 19 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (68%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Jon Ossoff says “Trump (3+ times)” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=19). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jon Ossoff: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jon-ossoff/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jon-ossoff&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jon-ossoff&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP