Jon Ossoff: Interview, Mar 11, 2026

Wed, Mar 11InterviewHistory onlyJon Ossoff

Updated

Markets

13 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Economy / Economic Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Election Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein No–new new word, no probability yet–
Fraud No–new new word, no probability yet–
Healthcare No–new new word, no probability yet–
Housing No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / DHS No–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran No–new new word, no probability yet–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 3+ timesNo–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-OSSO26MAR11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP