Will JD Vance say “You Guys”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “You Guys” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 27, 2024 (50%), most recently on Aug 28, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 rallies have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.

43%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

You Guys

Probability
43% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 5 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Sep. 3, 2026 · Sep 3, 2026 · 0:08In transcript

…right. Good morning, everybody. I guess, good afternoon now. Good to see you guys. So let me give a few updates on a few things…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, Jun. 18, 2026 · Jun 18, 2026 · 10:45In transcript

…Both sides have to honor their end of the deal. Now, as you guys know, sometimes these ceasefires are a little messy. The president of…

JD VancespeakerVice President JD Vance Briefs Members of the Media, May 19, 2026 · May 19, 2026 · 0:08In transcript

All right. Good afternoon everybody. How you guys doing? Good, good. Okay. I've got my cheat sheet here so I know who to call on,…

JD VanceotherPress Briefing by Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt and the Vice President, Jan. 8, 2026 · Jan 8, 2026 · 5:59In transcript

…We're going to make the nomination hopefully in the next few days. We'll obviously let you guys know who that is when we do it.

JD VanceotherPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt Briefs Members of the Media, Oct. 1, 2025 · Oct 1, 2025 · 24:52In transcript

Thank you, thank you. See you, guys.

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 28, 2024You GuysPolymarketYes
Aug 27, 2024You GuysPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “You Guys”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “You Guys” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 27, 2024 (50%), most recently on Aug 28, 2024.
What is the probability JD Vance says “You Guys” next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘You Guys’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/you-guy (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=you%20guy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP