Will JD Vance say “Worker”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Worker” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Worker
- Probability
- 59% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…new factories and new facilities. Those factories are being built. So, if you're a construction worker, that's great. And obviously, we love our construction workers.
…reinvested and which we've tariffed foreign competitors to ensure that American car workers, American auto workers, and the products they develop are going to be…
…made any final decisions about what we're going to do with certain workers. What we're saying is that we might have to take extraordinary steps.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Worker”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Worker” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 16, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Worker” next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Worker’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/worker (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=worker · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP