Will JD Vance say “TSA”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “TSA” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
TSA
- Probability
- 31% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 0 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Over 13,000 air traffic controllers will work without pay as well as TSA agents which will very likely create flight disruptions. And pay will now…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “TSA”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “TSA” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “TSA” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘TSA’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/tsa (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=tsa · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP