Will JD Vance say “Overtime”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Overtime” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Overtime
- Probability
- 54% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 2 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…no taxes on Social Security, no taxes on tips, no taxes on overtime. We've seen $19 trillion of new investment come into the country, but…
…the pockets of families, no taxes on social security, no taxes on overtime, no taxes on tips. So, I reject the idea that we can't…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Overtime”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Overtime” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 24, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Overtime” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Overtime’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/overtime (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=overtime · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP