Will JD Vance say “Infrastructure”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Infrastructure” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Infrastructure
- Probability
- 34% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 1 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…rebuild their nuclear program. You're talking about billions and billions of nuclear infrastructure that the United States destroyed. In order for them to rebuild that…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Infrastructure |  Kalshi | No |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Infrastructure | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does JD Vance say “Infrastructure”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Infrastructure” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 16, 2025.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Infrastructure” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Infrastructure’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/infrastructure (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=infrastructure · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP