Will JD Vance say “Illegal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Illegal” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
JD Vance
Illegal
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 5 transcripts
- said in 4 of 5
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…an American trucker wondering why it is that the last administration facilitated illegal aliens driving semitrucks on our roads, or if you're an American who…
…to lead by example is banning that process, banning that approach and making it illegal, which is exactly what the President has proposed doing. Yes.
…fraud so that people who need food benefits can get them but illegal aliens and other fraudsters don't. We have over 1,500 subpoenas that the…
…happen. What they have done instead is to shut down the government because we won't give billions of dollars to healthcare funding for illegal aliens.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does JD Vance say “Illegal”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, JD Vance said “Illegal” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 14, 2026.
- What is the probability JD Vance says “Illegal” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Illegal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/illegal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=illegal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP