Will “Socialist / Socialism” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Socialist / Socialism” was said at the Congressional hearings on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

55%from settlement history only · n=2counts: any witness
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
any witness
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Socialist / Socialism

Probability
55% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 18, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Socialist / Socialism” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Socialist / Socialism” was said at the Congressional hearings on 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 18, 2026.
What is the probability “Socialist / Socialism” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
55%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Socialist / Socialism’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP